Failed Lockdown in India, Graph: Fact Check

Image about Failed Lockdown in India, Graph
Failed Lockdown in India, Graph


This is What a Failed Lockdown Looks Like in India – Graph

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Lockdown Failed in India

Fact Check:

A picture message circulating widely on social media presents a graph alleging to show how a Failed Lockdown looks like in India. The graph compares COVID-19 cases in India with Spain, Germany, Italy and United Kingdom before and after lockdown period. Accompanying message points unlike the other countries, there’s a consistent increase in the number of cases after lockdown was lifted in India. In the other countries, the graph shows decline in cases after lifting the lockdown (unlock). So, the message concludes lockdown to contain the deadly Coronavirus has failed in India. The claims are only partially fact, explained here.

About the Graph

On 5th June 2020, Rahul Gandhi shared the graph in question on Twitter commenting this is what a failed lockdown looks like in India. India imposed the nation-wide lockdown on 25th March 2020 to contain the global pandemic Coronavirus. It extended the lockdown several times before announcing a staggered exit from 1st June. Soon after, the number of COVID-19 cases kept on increasing, which is why there are these claims calling the lockdown measure a failure.

Has Lockdown Failed in India?

In the first place, lockdown in India is not entirely lifted. As of this writing, there are some cities/areas still under lockdown and close observation and control (containment zones). COVID-19 is a novel strain of Coronavirus without any medicine or vaccine. The global pandemic has infected and killed millions of people around the world. No country has the right measures to contain or cure the deadly disease. Many countries followed the lockdown measures to stop the transmission cycle of the virus and prepare to tackle the same.

The number of infections increased in many countries after easing the lockdown, some of which even had to resort to lockdown again. A virus that grows exponentially is growing linearly in India. It is also not fair to compare India with a population of over 1.3 billion with the other countries with quite less inhabitants. India has less death rate and the recovery rate also improved significantly from 11% to over 50% in 2 months, as on 15th June 2020. So, in the chart all other data point aspects are kept constant to prove only one moving data point, i.e. increase in number of cases.

It is important to note, testing for COVID-19 infection has increased many fold since the start of lockdown. The testing has increased to take cognizance of all possible infected cases. The surge in cases is also seen as a pointer to India approaching its peak of infections. Some studies suggest it will take place in June or July 2020.

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